Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast update on May 15 projects clear skies over Seoul on May 16, with light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight and early morning temperatures hovering around 18°C at 0600 hours, though models suggest a potential dip closer to 15-16°C pre-dawn. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 15°C at 37% and 16°C at 25% implied probabilities, reflecting the warmer-than-average 2026 spring trend—recent May lows have averaged 12-16°C climatologically but trended 2-3°C above normal amid persistent high-pressure ridging. Model ensembles show some spread due to cloud cover uncertainty, with next KMA briefing at 1800 hours May 15 poised to refine minimum temperature guidance for the official Seoul station measurement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
15°C 37%
16°C 27%
14°C 11%
17°C 4.0%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
37%
16°C
27%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 37%
16°C 27%
14°C 11%
17°C 4.0%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
37%
16°C
27%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast update on May 15 projects clear skies over Seoul on May 16, with light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight and early morning temperatures hovering around 18°C at 0600 hours, though models suggest a potential dip closer to 15-16°C pre-dawn. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 15°C at 37% and 16°C at 25% implied probabilities, reflecting the warmer-than-average 2026 spring trend—recent May lows have averaged 12-16°C climatologically but trended 2-3°C above normal amid persistent high-pressure ridging. Model ensembles show some spread due to cloud cover uncertainty, with next KMA briefing at 1800 hours May 15 poised to refine minimum temperature guidance for the official Seoul station measurement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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