Recent Q2 2026 GDP expansion of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter, rebounding from a 0.6% contraction, underpins trader focus on whether that momentum extends into the current quarter amid persistent headwinds. Consensus full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 1.2-1.8%, reflecting subdued domestic demand, elevated policy rates at 6.5%, and USMCA-related investment caution despite low unemployment near 2.9% and inflation easing to 3.1%. The tight spread among 1.0-2.5% outcomes highlights uncertainty over services resilience, primary-sector volatility, and potential trade disruptions, with traders weighting incoming monthly indicators against historical base rates for quarterly prints.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড1.5-2.0% 34%
1.0-1.5% 30%
2.0-2.5% 25%
2.5-3.0% 10%
$12,288 Vol.
$12,288 Vol.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.5%
2%
0.5-1.0%
4%
1.0-1.5%
30%
1.5-2.0%
34%
2.0-2.5%
25%
2.5-3.0%
10%
3.0-3.5%
5%
3.5%+
1%
1.5-2.0% 34%
1.0-1.5% 30%
2.0-2.5% 25%
2.5-3.0% 10%
$12,288 Vol.
$12,288 Vol.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.5%
$211 Vol.
2%
0.5-1.0%
$193 Vol.
4%
1.0-1.5%
$2,231 Vol.
30%
1.5-2.0%
$2,335 Vol.
34%
2.0-2.5%
$6,513 Vol.
25%
2.5-3.0%
$355 Vol.
10%
3.0-3.5%
$248 Vol.
5%
3.5%+
$203 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP expansion of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter, rebounding from a 0.6% contraction, underpins trader focus on whether that momentum extends into the current quarter amid persistent headwinds. Consensus full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 1.2-1.8%, reflecting subdued domestic demand, elevated policy rates at 6.5%, and USMCA-related investment caution despite low unemployment near 2.9% and inflation easing to 3.1%. The tight spread among 1.0-2.5% outcomes highlights uncertainty over services resilience, primary-sector volatility, and potential trade disruptions, with traders weighting incoming monthly indicators against historical base rates for quarterly prints.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,288শেষ তারিখ
Oct 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP expansion of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter, rebounding from a 0.6% contraction, underpins trader focus on whether that momentum extends into the current quarter amid persistent headwinds. Consensus full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 1.2-1.8%, reflecting subdued domestic demand, elevated policy rates at 6.5%, and USMCA-related investment caution despite low unemployment near 2.9% and inflation easing to 3.1%. The tight spread among 1.0-2.5% outcomes highlights uncertainty over services resilience, primary-sector volatility, and potential trade disruptions, with traders weighting incoming monthly indicators against historical base rates for quarterly prints.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$12,288শেষ তারিখ
Oct 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP expansion of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter, rebounding from a 0.6% contraction, underpins trader focus on whether that momentum extends into the current quarter amid persistent headwinds. Consensus full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 1.2-1.8%, reflecting subdued domestic demand, elevated policy rates at 6.5%, and USMCA-related investment caution despite low unemployment near 2.9% and inflation easing to 3.1%. The tight spread among 1.0-2.5% outcomes highlights uncertainty over services resilience, primary-sector volatility, and potential trade disruptions, with traders weighting incoming monthly indicators against historical base rates for quarterly prints.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা