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নতুন
Polymarket
নতুন

Republican Party

$401 Vol.

91%

Democratic Party

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 4th congressional district ahead of the 2026 midterm election, with primaries set for June 2 and the general election on November 3. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in recent voting patterns across Monmouth and Ocean counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic primary contenders John Blake and Rachel Peace have highlighted issues such as affordability and healthcare, yet face structural headwinds in a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, health or retirement announcements by the incumbent, or unusually strong primary turnout dynamics that alter the general election matchup.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$401
শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 4th congressional district ahead of the 2026 midterm election, with primaries set for June 2 and the general election on November 3. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in recent voting patterns across Monmouth and Ocean counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic primary contenders John Blake and Rachel Peace have highlighted issues such as affordability and healthcare, yet face structural headwinds in a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, health or retirement announcements by the incumbent, or unusually strong primary turnout dynamics that alter the general election matchup.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$401
শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"NJ-04 House Election Winner" হলো Polymarket-এ 2 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "Republican Party" 91%-এ, তারপর "Democratic Party" 8%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

"NJ-04 House Election Winner" Polymarket-এ একটি নতুন তৈরি মার্কেট, Jan 28, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হয়েছে। একটি নতুন মার্কেট হিসেবে, এটি প্রথম ট্রেডারদের মধ্যে একজন হয়ে অডস সেট করার ও মার্কেটের প্রাথমিক মূল্য সংকেত প্রতিষ্ঠা করার সুযোগ। সময়ের সাথে মার্কেট গতি পেলে ভলিউম ও ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি ট্র্যাক করতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করতে পারেন।

"NJ-04 House Election Winner"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 2 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"NJ-04 House Election Winner"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "Republican Party" 91%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 91% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "Democratic Party" 8%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"NJ-04 House Election Winner"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।