Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise, the highest since July 2024, has tightened trader focus on South Korea's full-year inflation path amid sustained oil-price pressures from Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Korea has signaled a more hawkish tilt, noting upside risks to both headline and core inflation near 2.2% and leaving open the possibility of rate hikes later in the year. Analyst consensus, including the IMF's upward revision to 2.5% and Bloomberg surveys averaging the same level, centers on the 2.4–2.9% range, where market-implied odds remain closely matched. May CPI prints and the BoK's May 28 policy decision represent the next clear catalysts that could shift the narrow probability distribution among these bands.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSouth Korea Annual Inflation 2026
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 39.1%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
36%
2.4% to 2.6%
39%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
28%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 39.1%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
36%
2.4% to 2.6%
39%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
28%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise, the highest since July 2024, has tightened trader focus on South Korea's full-year inflation path amid sustained oil-price pressures from Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Korea has signaled a more hawkish tilt, noting upside risks to both headline and core inflation near 2.2% and leaving open the possibility of rate hikes later in the year. Analyst consensus, including the IMF's upward revision to 2.5% and Bloomberg surveys averaging the same level, centers on the 2.4–2.9% range, where market-implied odds remain closely matched. May CPI prints and the BoK's May 28 policy decision represent the next clear catalysts that could shift the narrow probability distribution among these bands.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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