Traders assign a 98.8 percent implied probability that President Trump will remain in office past June 30, driven by the absence of any active congressional removal proceedings, public resignation indications, or other constitutional triggers in the immediate term. His term, secured by the 2024 election, runs through January 2029, with no midterm elections, special sessions, or scheduled votes capable of altering the timeline in the next six weeks. Institutional requirements, such as the extended process for Senate impeachment trials or invocation of the 25th Amendment, make rapid change highly improbable. Remote scenarios including a sudden health event or unforeseen legal development could theoretically intervene, yet current political conditions show no momentum toward such outcomes before the resolution date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$5,283,722 Vol.
$5,283,722 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$5,283,722 Vol.
$5,283,722 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 98.8 percent implied probability that President Trump will remain in office past June 30, driven by the absence of any active congressional removal proceedings, public resignation indications, or other constitutional triggers in the immediate term. His term, secured by the 2024 election, runs through January 2029, with no midterm elections, special sessions, or scheduled votes capable of altering the timeline in the next six weeks. Institutional requirements, such as the extended process for Senate impeachment trials or invocation of the 25th Amendment, make rapid change highly improbable. Remote scenarios including a sudden health event or unforeseen legal development could theoretically intervene, yet current political conditions show no momentum toward such outcomes before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
ভলিউম
$5,283,722শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 98.8 percent implied probability that President Trump will remain in office past June 30, driven by the absence of any active congressional removal proceedings, public resignation indications, or other constitutional triggers in the immediate term. His term, secured by the 2024 election, runs through January 2029, with no midterm elections, special sessions, or scheduled votes capable of altering the timeline in the next six weeks. Institutional requirements, such as the extended process for Senate impeachment trials or invocation of the 25th Amendment, make rapid change highly improbable. Remote scenarios including a sudden health event or unforeseen legal development could theoretically intervene, yet current political conditions show no momentum toward such outcomes before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$5,283,722শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.8 percent implied probability that President Trump will remain in office past June 30, driven by the absence of any active congressional removal proceedings, public resignation indications, or other constitutional triggers in the immediate term. His term, secured by the 2024 election, runs through January 2029, with no midterm elections, special sessions, or scheduled votes capable of altering the timeline in the next six weeks. Institutional requirements, such as the extended process for Senate impeachment trials or invocation of the 25th Amendment, make rapid change highly improbable. Remote scenarios including a sudden health event or unforeseen legal development could theoretically intervene, yet current political conditions show no momentum toward such outcomes before the resolution date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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