Texas' 38th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, shows trader consensus implying an 82% Republican win probability, driven by historical GOP margins exceeding 25 points—including Wesley Hunt's 63% victories in 2022 and 2024—despite his Senate bid leaving the seat open. Democrat Melissa McDonough, who lost by 25 points to Hunt last cycle, won a contested primary with 52%. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 features Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck, who took 48% in March, against Shelly deZevallos; Bonck leads as heavy favorite per Cook's Solid Republican rating, with early voting starting May 18 and superior fundraising bolstering the party's edge.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$14,662 Vol.
$14,662 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
20%
$14,662 Vol.
$14,662 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,922 Vol.
82%
Democratic Party
$4,739 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 38th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, shows trader consensus implying an 82% Republican win probability, driven by historical GOP margins exceeding 25 points—including Wesley Hunt's 63% victories in 2022 and 2024—despite his Senate bid leaving the seat open. Democrat Melissa McDonough, who lost by 25 points to Hunt last cycle, won a contested primary with 52%. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 features Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck, who took 48% in March, against Shelly deZevallos; Bonck leads as heavy favorite per Cook's Solid Republican rating, with early voting starting May 18 and superior fundraising bolstering the party's edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$14,662শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 38th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, shows trader consensus implying an 82% Republican win probability, driven by historical GOP margins exceeding 25 points—including Wesley Hunt's 63% victories in 2022 and 2024—despite his Senate bid leaving the seat open. Democrat Melissa McDonough, who lost by 25 points to Hunt last cycle, won a contested primary with 52%. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 features Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck, who took 48% in March, against Shelly deZevallos; Bonck leads as heavy favorite per Cook's Solid Republican rating, with early voting starting May 18 and superior fundraising bolstering the party's edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$14,662শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 38th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, shows trader consensus implying an 82% Republican win probability, driven by historical GOP margins exceeding 25 points—including Wesley Hunt's 63% victories in 2022 and 2024—despite his Senate bid leaving the seat open. Democrat Melissa McDonough, who lost by 25 points to Hunt last cycle, won a contested primary with 52%. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 features Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck, who took 48% in March, against Shelly deZevallos; Bonck leads as heavy favorite per Cook's Solid Republican rating, with early voting starting May 18 and superior fundraising bolstering the party's edge.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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