Delcy Rodríguez has consolidated power as Venezuela’s acting president since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with traders assigning her an 89.5% chance of remaining de facto leader at year-end. U.S. recognition, military backing, and policy coordination under the Trump administration—including oil-sector reforms and diplomatic outreach—have reinforced her position despite the June earthquakes that strained governance and humanitarian response. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined, with limited leverage under current institutional and external constraints. Other listed candidates register negligible probabilities due to absent succession mechanisms or political pathways before December 31. The market reflects trader consensus on continuity through year-end amid ongoing U.S. influence and delayed transition talks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 3.9%
Dinorah Figuera 2.1%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,912 Vol.
$367,912 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
María Corina Machado
4%
Dinorah Figuera
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 3.9%
Dinorah Figuera 2.1%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,912 Vol.
$367,912 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$86,357 Vol.
90%
María Corina Machado
$52,358 Vol.
4%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,171 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,758 Vol.
1%
Dan Caine
$3,059 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,500 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$5,959 Vol.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$66,886 Vol.
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,151 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez has consolidated power as Venezuela’s acting president since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with traders assigning her an 89.5% chance of remaining de facto leader at year-end. U.S. recognition, military backing, and policy coordination under the Trump administration—including oil-sector reforms and diplomatic outreach—have reinforced her position despite the June earthquakes that strained governance and humanitarian response. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined, with limited leverage under current institutional and external constraints. Other listed candidates register negligible probabilities due to absent succession mechanisms or political pathways before December 31. The market reflects trader consensus on continuity through year-end amid ongoing U.S. influence and delayed transition talks.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$367,912শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez has consolidated power as Venezuela’s acting president since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with traders assigning her an 89.5% chance of remaining de facto leader at year-end. U.S. recognition, military backing, and policy coordination under the Trump administration—including oil-sector reforms and diplomatic outreach—have reinforced her position despite the June earthquakes that strained governance and humanitarian response. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined, with limited leverage under current institutional and external constraints. Other listed candidates register negligible probabilities due to absent succession mechanisms or political pathways before December 31. The market reflects trader consensus on continuity through year-end amid ongoing U.S. influence and delayed transition talks.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
ভলিউম
$367,912শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez has consolidated power as Venezuela’s acting president since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with traders assigning her an 89.5% chance of remaining de facto leader at year-end. U.S. recognition, military backing, and policy coordination under the Trump administration—including oil-sector reforms and diplomatic outreach—have reinforced her position despite the June earthquakes that strained governance and humanitarian response. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined, with limited leverage under current institutional and external constraints. Other listed candidates register negligible probabilities due to absent succession mechanisms or political pathways before December 31. The market reflects trader consensus on continuity through year-end amid ongoing U.S. influence and delayed transition talks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা