Recent federal immigration policy adjustments, including sharp cuts to temporary resident admissions from over 670,000 in 2025 to 385,000 in 2026 and a target to reduce their population share below 5 percent by late 2027, produced Canada's first annual population decline on record in 2025, totaling roughly 102,000 people. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections and Statistics Canada data now indicate flat overall growth in 2026, with net outflows of non-permanent residents largely offset by steady permanent resident admissions around 380,000 and one-time transitions of existing temporary residents. This stabilization, following two consecutive quarters of contraction through early 2026, underpins trader consensus that any 2026 decline will fall short of the prior year's historic drop.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
নতুন
নতুন
Apr 30, 2027
নতুন
নতুন
Apr 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent federal immigration policy adjustments, including sharp cuts to temporary resident admissions from over 670,000 in 2025 to 385,000 in 2026 and a target to reduce their population share below 5 percent by late 2027, produced Canada's first annual population decline on record in 2025, totaling roughly 102,000 people. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections and Statistics Canada data now indicate flat overall growth in 2026, with net outflows of non-permanent residents largely offset by steady permanent resident admissions around 380,000 and one-time transitions of existing temporary residents. This stabilization, following two consecutive quarters of contraction through early 2026, underpins trader consensus that any 2026 decline will fall short of the prior year's historic drop.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,523শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent federal immigration policy adjustments, including sharp cuts to temporary resident admissions from over 670,000 in 2025 to 385,000 in 2026 and a target to reduce their population share below 5 percent by late 2027, produced Canada's first annual population decline on record in 2025, totaling roughly 102,000 people. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections and Statistics Canada data now indicate flat overall growth in 2026, with net outflows of non-permanent residents largely offset by steady permanent resident admissions around 380,000 and one-time transitions of existing temporary residents. This stabilization, following two consecutive quarters of contraction through early 2026, underpins trader consensus that any 2026 decline will fall short of the prior year's historic drop.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$1,523শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent federal immigration policy adjustments, including sharp cuts to temporary resident admissions from over 670,000 in 2025 to 385,000 in 2026 and a target to reduce their population share below 5 percent by late 2027, produced Canada's first annual population decline on record in 2025, totaling roughly 102,000 people. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections and Statistics Canada data now indicate flat overall growth in 2026, with net outflows of non-permanent residents largely offset by steady permanent resident admissions around 380,000 and one-time transitions of existing temporary residents. This stabilization, following two consecutive quarters of contraction through early 2026, underpins trader consensus that any 2026 decline will fall short of the prior year's historic drop.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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