Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 65.5% implied probability that the chamber will pass articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. Traders cite forecasts showing Democrats favored to flip the chamber, combined with repeated Democratic resolutions introduced in 2026 on issues ranging from executive actions to agency operations. Trump has publicly acknowledged the risk in campaign-style remarks, while polls indicate majority public support for grounds to impeach. Current Republican majorities have blocked advancement of recent resolutions, such as the August 2026 measure referred to the Judiciary Committee, but a post-midterm majority would remove that procedural barrier. Senate conviction remains a separate, higher threshold not required for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
66% সম্ভাবনা
$97,553 Vol.
$97,553 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
৪% আয় করুন
66% সম্ভাবনা
$97,553 Vol.
$97,553 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
৪% আয় করুন
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 65.5% implied probability that the chamber will pass articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. Traders cite forecasts showing Democrats favored to flip the chamber, combined with repeated Democratic resolutions introduced in 2026 on issues ranging from executive actions to agency operations. Trump has publicly acknowledged the risk in campaign-style remarks, while polls indicate majority public support for grounds to impeach. Current Republican majorities have blocked advancement of recent resolutions, such as the August 2026 measure referred to the Judiciary Committee, but a post-midterm majority would remove that procedural barrier. Senate conviction remains a separate, higher threshold not required for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$97,553শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2029মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 65.5% implied probability that the chamber will pass articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. Traders cite forecasts showing Democrats favored to flip the chamber, combined with repeated Democratic resolutions introduced in 2026 on issues ranging from executive actions to agency operations. Trump has publicly acknowledged the risk in campaign-style remarks, while polls indicate majority public support for grounds to impeach. Current Republican majorities have blocked advancement of recent resolutions, such as the August 2026 measure referred to the Judiciary Committee, but a post-midterm majority would remove that procedural barrier. Senate conviction remains a separate, higher threshold not required for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ভলিউম
$97,553শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2029মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 65.5% implied probability that the chamber will pass articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. Traders cite forecasts showing Democrats favored to flip the chamber, combined with repeated Democratic resolutions introduced in 2026 on issues ranging from executive actions to agency operations. Trump has publicly acknowledged the risk in campaign-style remarks, while polls indicate majority public support for grounds to impeach. Current Republican majorities have blocked advancement of recent resolutions, such as the August 2026 measure referred to the Judiciary Committee, but a post-midterm majority would remove that procedural barrier. Senate conviction remains a separate, higher threshold not required for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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