NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) and Sentry monitoring system show no catalogued near-Earth objects (NEOs) on trajectories capable of producing a 1-megaton or greater airburst in 2026, with all tracked objects passing at safe distances. Continuous sky surveys and orbital refinements confirm this absence, aligning with the low annual background rate of roughly one such bolide every few centuries based on fireball statistics and flux models. Recent detections remain limited to sub-kiloton events. While comprehensive coverage reduces risk for objects above ~20–30 meters, an undetected smaller meteoroid could theoretically produce an airburst over remote ocean regions, though current sensor networks and historical precedent make this outcome improbable before year-end resolution.