Brazil's Senate has never removed a Supreme Federal Court justice in the modern era, anchoring trader consensus at 80% against Alexandre de Moraes departing the STF before the end of 2026. Recent opposition impeachment requests, filed after Moraes suspended enforcement of a congressional sentencing law that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison term, reflect ongoing legislative friction. Yet the constitutional threshold for removal requires supermajority support that has not materialized, while the Senate president retains control over the legislative calendar. Earlier U.S. sanctions on Moraes were lifted in late 2025, reducing external momentum for change and reinforcing institutional continuity at Brazil's highest court.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$27,474 Vol.
$27,474 Vol.
Ja
$27,474 Vol.
$27,474 Vol.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has never removed a Supreme Federal Court justice in the modern era, anchoring trader consensus at 80% against Alexandre de Moraes departing the STF before the end of 2026. Recent opposition impeachment requests, filed after Moraes suspended enforcement of a congressional sentencing law that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison term, reflect ongoing legislative friction. Yet the constitutional threshold for removal requires supermajority support that has not materialized, while the Senate president retains control over the legislative calendar. Earlier U.S. sanctions on Moraes were lifted in late 2025, reducing external momentum for change and reinforcing institutional continuity at Brazil's highest court.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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