Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party leading at 32.5% in the EVN Report's third-wave survey (April-May 2026), up amid improving public approval for Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan (49%) and perceptions of economic and security gains. Opposition fragmentation hampers challengers, with Strong Armenia at 10.1%, Armenia Alliance at 4.4%, and others below the 5% proportional representation threshold for National Assembly seats, positioning Civil Contract for bonus seats to secure a majority under the d'Hondt allocation rules ahead of the June 7 vote. Scenarios to upend this include unlikely opposition consolidation, a late-breaking scandal, or turnout shifts favoring protesters, though campaign kickoff on May 8 underscores the status quo.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertZiviler Vertrag 93%
Starke Armenien 6.2%
Armenien-Allianz <1%
Wohlhabendes Armenien <1%
$180,827 Vol.
$180,827 Vol.
7. Juni 2026
Ziviler Vertrag
93%
Starke Armenien
6%
Armenien-Allianz
<1%
Wohlhabendes Armenien
<1%
Ich Habe Ehre Allianz
<1%
Armenischer Nationalkongress
<1%
Bright Armenia
<1%
Hanrapetutyun-Partei
<1%
Heritage
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
<1%
Ziviler Vertrag 93%
Starke Armenien 6.2%
Armenien-Allianz <1%
Wohlhabendes Armenien <1%
$180,827 Vol.
$180,827 Vol.
7. Juni 2026
Ziviler Vertrag
$55,347 Vol.
93%
Starke Armenien
$9,013 Vol.
6%
Armenien-Allianz
$57,158 Vol.
<1%
Wohlhabendes Armenien
$9,796 Vol.
<1%
Ich Habe Ehre Allianz
$7,267 Vol.
<1%
Armenischer Nationalkongress
$8,876 Vol.
<1%
Bright Armenia
$7,789 Vol.
<1%
Hanrapetutyun-Partei
$7,414 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$8,285 Vol.
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
$9,883 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party leading at 32.5% in the EVN Report's third-wave survey (April-May 2026), up amid improving public approval for Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan (49%) and perceptions of economic and security gains. Opposition fragmentation hampers challengers, with Strong Armenia at 10.1%, Armenia Alliance at 4.4%, and others below the 5% proportional representation threshold for National Assembly seats, positioning Civil Contract for bonus seats to secure a majority under the d'Hondt allocation rules ahead of the June 7 vote. Scenarios to upend this include unlikely opposition consolidation, a late-breaking scandal, or turnout shifts favoring protesters, though campaign kickoff on May 8 underscores the status quo.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volumen
$180,827Enddatum
7. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party leading at 32.5% in the EVN Report's third-wave survey (April-May 2026), up amid improving public approval for Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan (49%) and perceptions of economic and security gains. Opposition fragmentation hampers challengers, with Strong Armenia at 10.1%, Armenia Alliance at 4.4%, and others below the 5% proportional representation threshold for National Assembly seats, positioning Civil Contract for bonus seats to secure a majority under the d'Hondt allocation rules ahead of the June 7 vote. Scenarios to upend this include unlikely opposition consolidation, a late-breaking scandal, or turnout shifts favoring protesters, though campaign kickoff on May 8 underscores the status quo.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volumen
$180,827Enddatum
7. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party leading at 32.5% in the EVN Report's third-wave survey (April-May 2026), up amid improving public approval for Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan (49%) and perceptions of economic and security gains. Opposition fragmentation hampers challengers, with Strong Armenia at 10.1%, Armenia Alliance at 4.4%, and others below the 5% proportional representation threshold for National Assembly seats, positioning Civil Contract for bonus seats to secure a majority under the d'Hondt allocation rules ahead of the June 7 vote. Scenarios to upend this include unlikely opposition consolidation, a late-breaking scandal, or turnout shifts favoring protesters, though campaign kickoff on May 8 underscores the status quo.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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