California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles where the Democratic nominee has carried the seat by double-digit margins. The retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley has produced an open race with a competitive Democratic primary featuring experienced candidates such as state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, while Republican challengers remain limited in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee in a commanding position. A late surge by a high-profile Republican or an unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement in voter registration or turnout patterns within Ventura County.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-26 Wahlsieger
CA-26 Wahlsieger
$26,373 Vol.
$26,373 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
7%
$26,373 Vol.
$26,373 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$14,001 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$12,373 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles where the Democratic nominee has carried the seat by double-digit margins. The retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley has produced an open race with a competitive Democratic primary featuring experienced candidates such as state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, while Republican challengers remain limited in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee in a commanding position. A late surge by a high-profile Republican or an unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement in voter registration or turnout patterns within Ventura County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$26,373Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles where the Democratic nominee has carried the seat by double-digit margins. The retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley has produced an open race with a competitive Democratic primary featuring experienced candidates such as state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, while Republican challengers remain limited in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee in a commanding position. A late surge by a high-profile Republican or an unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement in voter registration or turnout patterns within Ventura County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,373Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles where the Democratic nominee has carried the seat by double-digit margins. The retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley has produced an open race with a competitive Democratic primary featuring experienced candidates such as state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, while Republican challengers remain limited in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee in a commanding position. A late surge by a high-profile Republican or an unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement in voter registration or turnout patterns within Ventura County.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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