Trader consensus heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30 (88% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or official timelines as of mid-May 2026, following the company's February $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion valuation that bolstered its war chest amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue and 65% year-over-year growth in its data lakehouse and AI platforms. This recent capital influx reduces public listing urgency, especially in a cautious IPO environment where peers like Cerebras test waters but mega-unicorns delay for optimal conditions. Valuation buckets trail at low odds—200–250B at 2.2%—reflecting speculative bets on AI momentum, though typical 6–12 month prep timelines make a Q2 debut improbable without fresh catalysts like earnings beats or regulatory nods.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 94.7%
200–250 Mrd. 2.1%
125–150 Mrd. 1.4%
Unter 100 Mrd. <1%
$403,994 Vol.
$403,994 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Unter 100 Mrd.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
<1%
125–150 Mrd.
1%
150–175 Mrd.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
2%
250 Mrd.+
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 94.7%
200–250 Mrd. 2.1%
125–150 Mrd. 1.4%
Unter 100 Mrd. <1%
$403,994 Vol.
$403,994 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Unter 100 Mrd.
$33,240 Vol.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
$62,203 Vol.
<1%
125–150 Mrd.
$26,692 Vol.
1%
150–175 Mrd.
$59,896 Vol.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
$58,153 Vol.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
$21,122 Vol.
2%
250 Mrd.+
$126,215 Vol.
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
$16,474 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30 (88% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or official timelines as of mid-May 2026, following the company's February $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion valuation that bolstered its war chest amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue and 65% year-over-year growth in its data lakehouse and AI platforms. This recent capital influx reduces public listing urgency, especially in a cautious IPO environment where peers like Cerebras test waters but mega-unicorns delay for optimal conditions. Valuation buckets trail at low odds—200–250B at 2.2%—reflecting speculative bets on AI momentum, though typical 6–12 month prep timelines make a Q2 debut improbable without fresh catalysts like earnings beats or regulatory nods.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volumen
$403,994Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30 (88% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or official timelines as of mid-May 2026, following the company's February $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion valuation that bolstered its war chest amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue and 65% year-over-year growth in its data lakehouse and AI platforms. This recent capital influx reduces public listing urgency, especially in a cautious IPO environment where peers like Cerebras test waters but mega-unicorns delay for optimal conditions. Valuation buckets trail at low odds—200–250B at 2.2%—reflecting speculative bets on AI momentum, though typical 6–12 month prep timelines make a Q2 debut improbable without fresh catalysts like earnings beats or regulatory nods.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$403,994Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30 (88% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or official timelines as of mid-May 2026, following the company's February $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion valuation that bolstered its war chest amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue and 65% year-over-year growth in its data lakehouse and AI platforms. This recent capital influx reduces public listing urgency, especially in a cautious IPO environment where peers like Cerebras test waters but mega-unicorns delay for optimal conditions. Valuation buckets trail at low odds—200–250B at 2.2%—reflecting speculative bets on AI momentum, though typical 6–12 month prep timelines make a Q2 debut improbable without fresh catalysts like earnings beats or regulatory nods.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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