Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April 2026—above the ECB's 2% target—driven by energy price shocks from the escalating Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates unchanged at its April 30 meeting while signaling heightened upside risks. ECB President Lagarde highlighted intensified inflation pressures and downside growth risks, with policymakers like Bundesbank's Nagel warning of potential entrenched price growth requiring action as early as June. No rate cuts have occurred this year despite earlier easing cycles, and revised forecasts project inflation averaging 2.6-2.7% through 2026, aligning trader consensus at 88% against any deposit facility rate reduction amid the ECB's priority on price stability over monetary easing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April 2026—above the ECB's 2% target—driven by energy price shocks from the escalating Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates unchanged at its April 30 meeting while signaling heightened upside risks. ECB President Lagarde highlighted intensified inflation pressures and downside growth risks, with policymakers like Bundesbank's Nagel warning of potential entrenched price growth requiring action as early as June. No rate cuts have occurred this year despite earlier easing cycles, and revised forecasts project inflation averaging 2.6-2.7% through 2026, aligning trader consensus at 88% against any deposit facility rate reduction amid the ECB's priority on price stability over monetary easing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$27,913Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April 2026—above the ECB's 2% target—driven by energy price shocks from the escalating Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates unchanged at its April 30 meeting while signaling heightened upside risks. ECB President Lagarde highlighted intensified inflation pressures and downside growth risks, with policymakers like Bundesbank's Nagel warning of potential entrenched price growth requiring action as early as June. No rate cuts have occurred this year despite earlier easing cycles, and revised forecasts project inflation averaging 2.6-2.7% through 2026, aligning trader consensus at 88% against any deposit facility rate reduction amid the ECB's priority on price stability over monetary easing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,913Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April 2026—above the ECB's 2% target—driven by energy price shocks from the escalating Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates unchanged at its April 30 meeting while signaling heightened upside risks. ECB President Lagarde highlighted intensified inflation pressures and downside growth risks, with policymakers like Bundesbank's Nagel warning of potential entrenched price growth requiring action as early as June. No rate cuts have occurred this year despite earlier easing cycles, and revised forecasts project inflation averaging 2.6-2.7% through 2026, aligning trader consensus at 88% against any deposit facility rate reduction amid the ECB's priority on price stability over monetary easing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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