The ECB Governing Council kept key interest rates unchanged on April 30, 2026, holding the deposit facility rate at 2.00% as incoming economic data aligned with prior projections, including modest 0.9% euro area growth for the year amid sticky inflation above the 2% target. Hawkish signals from ECB officials, upward revisions to inflation forecasts, and external pressures like supply chain strains and geopolitical risks—such as energy price volatility from Middle East tensions—have solidified trader consensus against rate cuts in 2026, with some markets pricing potential hikes. Morgan Stanley recently dropped its cut forecasts, reflecting the 88% "No" probability as the wisdom of crowds anticipates steady or tighter monetary policy through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ECB Governing Council kept key interest rates unchanged on April 30, 2026, holding the deposit facility rate at 2.00% as incoming economic data aligned with prior projections, including modest 0.9% euro area growth for the year amid sticky inflation above the 2% target. Hawkish signals from ECB officials, upward revisions to inflation forecasts, and external pressures like supply chain strains and geopolitical risks—such as energy price volatility from Middle East tensions—have solidified trader consensus against rate cuts in 2026, with some markets pricing potential hikes. Morgan Stanley recently dropped its cut forecasts, reflecting the 88% "No" probability as the wisdom of crowds anticipates steady or tighter monetary policy through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$27,913Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ECB Governing Council kept key interest rates unchanged on April 30, 2026, holding the deposit facility rate at 2.00% as incoming economic data aligned with prior projections, including modest 0.9% euro area growth for the year amid sticky inflation above the 2% target. Hawkish signals from ECB officials, upward revisions to inflation forecasts, and external pressures like supply chain strains and geopolitical risks—such as energy price volatility from Middle East tensions—have solidified trader consensus against rate cuts in 2026, with some markets pricing potential hikes. Morgan Stanley recently dropped its cut forecasts, reflecting the 88% "No" probability as the wisdom of crowds anticipates steady or tighter monetary policy through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,913Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ECB Governing Council kept key interest rates unchanged on April 30, 2026, holding the deposit facility rate at 2.00% as incoming economic data aligned with prior projections, including modest 0.9% euro area growth for the year amid sticky inflation above the 2% target. Hawkish signals from ECB officials, upward revisions to inflation forecasts, and external pressures like supply chain strains and geopolitical risks—such as energy price volatility from Middle East tensions—have solidified trader consensus against rate cuts in 2026, with some markets pricing potential hikes. Morgan Stanley recently dropped its cut forecasts, reflecting the 88% "No" probability as the wisdom of crowds anticipates steady or tighter monetary policy through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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