Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term extends until the next presidential election, scheduled no later than May 2028, with no snap election on the horizon after he and allies like MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli explicitly rejected early polls in April 2026 amid economic pressures and opposition demands. Trader consensus at 89.5% "No" reflects his entrenched control over the political system, including dismissal of constitutional amendment rumors for term extension and active diplomatic engagements on Iran ceasefire extensions, Russia-Ukraine talks, and regional tensions through mid-May. Unconfirmed health rumors from February have faded without evidence of incapacity, leaving slim odds for resignation, removal, or other exit by year-end despite jailed rival Ekrem İmamoğlu's lingering challenge.