Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, supporting mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds that limit afternoon mixing and keep peak temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–32°C for mid-August. Recent observations show consecutive days with highs of 32–33°C under similar clear conditions, with no incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover to suppress maxima. This positions the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C as the implied consensus outcome, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime heating without extreme thermal advection or urban heat island amplification exceeding historical baselines. Updated guidance through the afternoon will confirm whether slight model spreads around boundary-layer moisture push the daily high one degree higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 13. August?
30°C 81%
31°C 10%
29°C 2.1%
32°C 1.4%
$32,021 Vol.
$32,021 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
81%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 81%
31°C 10%
29°C 2.1%
32°C 1.4%
$32,021 Vol.
$32,021 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
81%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, supporting mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds that limit afternoon mixing and keep peak temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–32°C for mid-August. Recent observations show consecutive days with highs of 32–33°C under similar clear conditions, with no incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover to suppress maxima. This positions the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C as the implied consensus outcome, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime heating without extreme thermal advection or urban heat island amplification exceeding historical baselines. Updated guidance through the afternoon will confirm whether slight model spreads around boundary-layer moisture push the daily high one degree higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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