Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 22–24°C in Ankara on September 22, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms that could limit afternoon heating. This setup follows milder conditions on the 21st and reflects a passing trough that introduces southwesterly flow and higher humidity, suppressing peak temperatures relative to the seasonal average of about 24–25°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–25°C because traders weigh the exact timing and intensity of precipitation against model consensus, with small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction capable of adding or subtracting 1–2°C from the daily maximum. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 22. September?
24°C 37%
25°C 35%
23°C 25%
26°C 14%
20°C oder niedriger
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
2%
24°C 37%
25°C 35%
23°C 25%
26°C 14%
20°C oder niedriger
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 22–24°C in Ankara on September 22, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms that could limit afternoon heating. This setup follows milder conditions on the 21st and reflects a passing trough that introduces southwesterly flow and higher humidity, suppressing peak temperatures relative to the seasonal average of about 24–25°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–25°C because traders weigh the exact timing and intensity of precipitation against model consensus, with small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction capable of adding or subtracting 1–2°C from the daily maximum. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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