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icon for Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?

Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?

Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

100-101°F 45%

98-99°F 32%

102-103°F 15%

96-97°F 6%

Polymarket
NEU

$14,026 Vol.

100-101°F 45%

98-99°F 32%

102-103°F 15%

96-97°F 6%

Polymarket
NEU

$14,026 Vol.

87°F oder darunter

$541 Vol.

<1%

88-89 °F

$99 Vol.

<1%

90-91°F

$574 Vol.

<1%

92-93°F

$813 Vol.

1%

94-95°F

$505 Vol.

1%

96-97°F

$1,727 Vol.

6%

98-99°F

$5,686 Vol.

32%

100-101°F

$2,284 Vol.

45%

102-103°F

$432 Vol.

15%

104-105°F

$584 Vol.

1%

106°F oder höher

$782 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a high near 100–101°F for Austin on September 2, driven by strong daytime insolation under partly to mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and warm-air advection ahead of any afternoon convection. This places readings 5–7°F above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94°F, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin over 98–99°F reflects limited cooling potential from scattered storms, as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor sustained warmth unless outflow boundaries arrive earlier than currently modeled. Final resolution hinges on official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely refining storm timing overnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,026
Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a high near 100–101°F for Austin on September 2, driven by strong daytime insolation under partly to mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and warm-air advection ahead of any afternoon convection. This places readings 5–7°F above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94°F, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin over 98–99°F reflects limited cooling potential from scattered storms, as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor sustained warmth unless outflow boundaries arrive earlier than currently modeled. Final resolution hinges on official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely refining storm timing overnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,026
Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Austin am 1. September zwischen 100-101°F liegen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Austin am 1. September zwischen 100-101°F liegen?

91%
Ja
icon for Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September zwischen 74-75°F liegen?

Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September zwischen 74-75°F liegen?

50%
Ja
icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Austin am 3. September zwischen 96-97°F liegen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Austin am 3. September zwischen 96-97°F liegen?

36%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „100-101°F" mit 45%, gefolgt von „98-99°F" mit 32%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $14K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 31, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?" ist „100-101°F" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „98-99°F" mit 32%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. September?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.