Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Beijing on August 5 likely reaching 36–37 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with surface highs constrained by residual moisture from recent showers and urban heat-island effects at official stations. The tight 36 °C versus 37 °C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily maximum and small differences among regional models, while the lower 38 °C odds align with climatological rarity of exceeding 37 °C this early in August absent a stronger high-pressure ridge. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day convective cooling will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 5. August?
37°C 44%
36°C 39%
38°C 21%
39°C or higher 1.2%
$28,454 Vol.
$28,454 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
39%
37°C
44%
38°C
21%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 44%
36°C 39%
38°C 21%
39°C or higher 1.2%
$28,454 Vol.
$28,454 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$308 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,313 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,106 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,206 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,861 Vol.
39%
37°C
$2,859 Vol.
44%
38°C
$3,176 Vol.
21%
39°C or higher
$1,880 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Beijing on August 5 likely reaching 36–37 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with surface highs constrained by residual moisture from recent showers and urban heat-island effects at official stations. The tight 36 °C versus 37 °C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily maximum and small differences among regional models, while the lower 38 °C odds align with climatological rarity of exceeding 37 °C this early in August absent a stronger high-pressure ridge. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day convective cooling will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$28,454Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Beijing on August 5 likely reaching 36–37 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with surface highs constrained by residual moisture from recent showers and urban heat-island effects at official stations. The tight 36 °C versus 37 °C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily maximum and small differences among regional models, while the lower 38 °C odds align with climatological rarity of exceeding 37 °C this early in August absent a stronger high-pressure ridge. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day convective cooling will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,454Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Beijing on August 5 likely reaching 36–37 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with surface highs constrained by residual moisture from recent showers and urban heat-island effects at official stations. The tight 36 °C versus 37 °C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily maximum and small differences among regional models, while the lower 38 °C odds align with climatological rarity of exceeding 37 °C this early in August absent a stronger high-pressure ridge. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day convective cooling will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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