Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate mild autumn conditions over Cape Town, with daytime highs expected to reach 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. These values align with historical May averages of 19–21°C, though recent model runs show slight warming from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling. The market’s emphasis on 21°C and 22°C reflects consensus among ensemble predictions with low precipitation risk and stable sea-surface temperatures around 15–16°C moderating overnight lows near 13–15°C. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities, leaving traders focused on minor diurnal variations and the final 24-hour model updates before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 18. Mai?
21°C 41%
22°C 28%
20°C 13.0%
23°C 11%
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
41%
22°C
28%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C oder höher
1%
21°C 41%
22°C 28%
20°C 13.0%
23°C 11%
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
41%
22°C
28%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTCurrent forecasts from meteorological models indicate mild autumn conditions over Cape Town, with daytime highs expected to reach 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. These values align with historical May averages of 19–21°C, though recent model runs show slight warming from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling. The market’s emphasis on 21°C and 22°C reflects consensus among ensemble predictions with low precipitation risk and stable sea-surface temperatures around 15–16°C moderating overnight lows near 13–15°C. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities, leaving traders focused on minor diurnal variations and the final 24-hour model updates before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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