Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus for that outcome. This value matches the Observatory’s pre-dawn forecast of 25–28°C under a trough of low pressure that delivered scattered showers and limited daytime heating. Mid-May climatology for the region shows typical maxima between 26–29°C, placing 27°C squarely within normal seasonal bounds and consistent with recent above-average temperature trends linked to broader climate warming. While the Observatory’s verified data anchors trader confidence, rare post-event quality-control revisions or localized station discrepancies could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments have been infrequent for daily maxima in recent years.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Mai?
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C oder weniger <1%
20°C <1%
$292,592 Vol.
$292,592 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C oder weniger <1%
20°C <1%
$292,592 Vol.
$292,592 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus for that outcome. This value matches the Observatory’s pre-dawn forecast of 25–28°C under a trough of low pressure that delivered scattered showers and limited daytime heating. Mid-May climatology for the region shows typical maxima between 26–29°C, placing 27°C squarely within normal seasonal bounds and consistent with recent above-average temperature trends linked to broader climate warming. While the Observatory’s verified data anchors trader confidence, rare post-event quality-control revisions or localized station discrepancies could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments have been infrequent for daily maxima in recent years.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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