Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 13. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 13. August?
27°C 100.0%
23°C oder darunter <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,252 Vol.
$38,252 Vol.
13. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
23°C oder darunter <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,252 Vol.
$38,252 Vol.
13. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
$447 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$667 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$1,147 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$3,556 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$14,284 Vol.
Ja
28°C
$9,373 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$3,501 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$2,932 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$805 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$1,274 Vol.
Nein
33°C oder höher
$267 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$38,252Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$38,252Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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