**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 5 centers on 28–29°C** due to typical mid-August maritime moderation in a region bounded by the Bosphorus, Sea of Marmara, and Black Sea. Official forecasts from regional models and agencies point to peak readings near 30–32°C under high pressure and clear skies, yet local sea breezes and urban-canopy effects frequently suppress observed maxima by 1–3°C at standard monitoring stations. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with August 4 maxima around 31°C before cooling influences took hold. Ensemble guidance indicates limited afternoon cloud development or northerly flow that further caps heating, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (57.5%) and 28°C (31.5%). Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological authorities, with minimal probability assigned to 30°C+ outcomes given these consistent local factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 5. August?
29°C 56%
28°C 32%
30°C 12%
27°C 3%
$28,061 Vol.
$28,061 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
24°C oder weniger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
32%
29°C
56%
30°C
12%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 56%
28°C 32%
30°C 12%
27°C 3%
$28,061 Vol.
$28,061 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
24°C oder weniger
$443 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,360 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5,766 Vol.
32%
29°C
$3,769 Vol.
56%
30°C
$3,200 Vol.
12%
31°C
$3,172 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,270 Vol.
<1%
34°C oder höher
$2,741 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 5 centers on 28–29°C** due to typical mid-August maritime moderation in a region bounded by the Bosphorus, Sea of Marmara, and Black Sea. Official forecasts from regional models and agencies point to peak readings near 30–32°C under high pressure and clear skies, yet local sea breezes and urban-canopy effects frequently suppress observed maxima by 1–3°C at standard monitoring stations. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with August 4 maxima around 31°C before cooling influences took hold. Ensemble guidance indicates limited afternoon cloud development or northerly flow that further caps heating, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (57.5%) and 28°C (31.5%). Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological authorities, with minimal probability assigned to 30°C+ outcomes given these consistent local factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$28,061Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 5 centers on 28–29°C** due to typical mid-August maritime moderation in a region bounded by the Bosphorus, Sea of Marmara, and Black Sea. Official forecasts from regional models and agencies point to peak readings near 30–32°C under high pressure and clear skies, yet local sea breezes and urban-canopy effects frequently suppress observed maxima by 1–3°C at standard monitoring stations. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with August 4 maxima around 31°C before cooling influences took hold. Ensemble guidance indicates limited afternoon cloud development or northerly flow that further caps heating, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (57.5%) and 28°C (31.5%). Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological authorities, with minimal probability assigned to 30°C+ outcomes given these consistent local factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,061Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 5 centers on 28–29°C** due to typical mid-August maritime moderation in a region bounded by the Bosphorus, Sea of Marmara, and Black Sea. Official forecasts from regional models and agencies point to peak readings near 30–32°C under high pressure and clear skies, yet local sea breezes and urban-canopy effects frequently suppress observed maxima by 1–3°C at standard monitoring stations. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with August 4 maxima around 31°C before cooling influences took hold. Ensemble guidance indicates limited afternoon cloud development or northerly flow that further caps heating, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (57.5%) and 28°C (31.5%). Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological authorities, with minimal probability assigned to 30°C+ outcomes given these consistent local factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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