Recent forecast model runs and Met Office guidance indicate a westerly airflow advecting mild Atlantic air across southern England, supporting a daytime maximum near 20–21°C for London on September 17 amid partly cloudy conditions and light showers. This aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on 21°C (50.0%) and 20°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus around seasonal norms rather than late-summer warmth seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 22°C if insolation increases. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at standard stations, with final data expected shortly after the close of the calendar day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 17. September?
21°C 50%
20°C 34%
22°C 12%
19°C 5%
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
34%
21°C
50%
22°C
12%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 50%
20°C 34%
22°C 12%
19°C 5%
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
34%
21°C
50%
22°C
12%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs and Met Office guidance indicate a westerly airflow advecting mild Atlantic air across southern England, supporting a daytime maximum near 20–21°C for London on September 17 amid partly cloudy conditions and light showers. This aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on 21°C (50.0%) and 20°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus around seasonal norms rather than late-summer warmth seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 22°C if insolation increases. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at standard stations, with final data expected shortly after the close of the calendar day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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