Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's emphasis on 26°C (48.5%) and 27°C (37.0%). The city's high elevation and rainy-season cloud cover typically cap daily maxima around the long-term August average of 23–24°C, but current model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions without extreme heat. Light showers and variable steering patterns are expected to moderate peaks, reducing odds for 28°C or higher while supporting the narrow 25–27°C range as the most probable outcome based on official meteorological guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 5. August?
26°C 49%
27°C 38%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
23°C oder darunter
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
38%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 38%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
23°C oder darunter
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
38%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's emphasis on 26°C (48.5%) and 27°C (37.0%). The city's high elevation and rainy-season cloud cover typically cap daily maxima around the long-term August average of 23–24°C, but current model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions without extreme heat. Light showers and variable steering patterns are expected to moderate peaks, reducing odds for 28°C or higher while supporting the narrow 25–27°C range as the most probable outcome based on official meteorological guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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