Recent numerical weather model consensus from INMET and international ensembles points to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, supporting a Sao Paulo maximum near 28–31°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. In the region’s subtropical winter, typical August highs average 25–27°C with low humidity and minimal rainfall; the current setup favors modest positive anomalies through enhanced solar heating and suppressed cloud cover. Ensemble spread across runs creates the closely matched market probabilities for 28–31°C outcomes, while lower odds on 32°C+ reflect the limited potential for stronger warming before any steering changes. Updated forecasts and observations in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 18. August?
31°C 54%
30°C 26%
32°C 12%
29°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
26%
31°C
54%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
5%
31°C 54%
30°C 26%
32°C 12%
29°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$27 Vol.
1%
28°C
$99 Vol.
5%
29°C
$118 Vol.
10%
30°C
$126 Vol.
26%
31°C
$139 Vol.
54%
32°C
$65 Vol.
12%
33°C
$43 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$15 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from INMET and international ensembles points to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, supporting a Sao Paulo maximum near 28–31°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. In the region’s subtropical winter, typical August highs average 25–27°C with low humidity and minimal rainfall; the current setup favors modest positive anomalies through enhanced solar heating and suppressed cloud cover. Ensemble spread across runs creates the closely matched market probabilities for 28–31°C outcomes, while lower odds on 32°C+ reflect the limited potential for stronger warming before any steering changes. Updated forecasts and observations in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volumen
$348Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from INMET and international ensembles points to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, supporting a Sao Paulo maximum near 28–31°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. In the region’s subtropical winter, typical August highs average 25–27°C with low humidity and minimal rainfall; the current setup favors modest positive anomalies through enhanced solar heating and suppressed cloud cover. Ensemble spread across runs creates the closely matched market probabilities for 28–31°C outcomes, while lower odds on 32°C+ reflect the limited potential for stronger warming before any steering changes. Updated forecasts and observations in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$348Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from INMET and international ensembles points to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, supporting a Sao Paulo maximum near 28–31°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. In the region’s subtropical winter, typical August highs average 25–27°C with low humidity and minimal rainfall; the current setup favors modest positive anomalies through enhanced solar heating and suppressed cloud cover. Ensemble spread across runs creates the closely matched market probabilities for 28–31°C outcomes, while lower odds on 32°C+ reflect the limited potential for stronger warming before any steering changes. Updated forecasts and observations in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen