Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Tel Aviv's September 18 high likely peaking near 30–31°C as a moderating westerly flow and rising humidity limit daytime heating, following hotter conditions mid-week. Partial cloud cover and a sea breeze off the Mediterranean further temper maximum temperatures, keeping most guidance within a narrow 29–32°C envelope. This tight clustering of outcomes explains the near-even market split between the two leading bins, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and recent model trends over climatological norms for the date. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 18. September?
31°C 46%
30°C 40%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
40%
31°C
46%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 40%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
40%
31°C
46%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Tel Aviv's September 18 high likely peaking near 30–31°C as a moderating westerly flow and rising humidity limit daytime heating, following hotter conditions mid-week. Partial cloud cover and a sea breeze off the Mediterranean further temper maximum temperatures, keeping most guidance within a narrow 29–32°C envelope. This tight clustering of outcomes explains the near-even market split between the two leading bins, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and recent model trends over climatological norms for the date. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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