Current forecasts from regional models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear skies, light northwest winds, and peak solar heating expected to drive daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 16. Trader consensus favoring 33°C or 34°C reflects typical model underestimation of urban heat island effects and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on whether afternoon temperatures briefly exceed 33°C amid low humidity around 50% and winds under 10 km/h, versus remaining capped by slightly stronger onshore flow. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 16. September?
33°C 50%
34°C 47%
35°C 6%
36°C 5%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
29°C oder niedriger
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
50%
34°C
47%
35°C
6%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C oder höher
1%
33°C 50%
34°C 47%
35°C 6%
36°C 5%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
29°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$521 Vol.
50%
34°C
$41 Vol.
47%
35°C
$84 Vol.
6%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C
$6 Vol.
1%
39°C oder höher
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear skies, light northwest winds, and peak solar heating expected to drive daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 16. Trader consensus favoring 33°C or 34°C reflects typical model underestimation of urban heat island effects and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on whether afternoon temperatures briefly exceed 33°C amid low humidity around 50% and winds under 10 km/h, versus remaining capped by slightly stronger onshore flow. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$657Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear skies, light northwest winds, and peak solar heating expected to drive daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 16. Trader consensus favoring 33°C or 34°C reflects typical model underestimation of urban heat island effects and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on whether afternoon temperatures briefly exceed 33°C amid low humidity around 50% and winds under 10 km/h, versus remaining capped by slightly stronger onshore flow. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$657Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear skies, light northwest winds, and peak solar heating expected to drive daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 16. Trader consensus favoring 33°C or 34°C reflects typical model underestimation of urban heat island effects and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on whether afternoon temperatures briefly exceed 33°C amid low humidity around 50% and winds under 10 km/h, versus remaining capped by slightly stronger onshore flow. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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