US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced toward a potential permanent peace agreement, centered on Hezbollah disarmament, border security arrangements, and mutual recognition of sovereignty. Following the April 16, 2026, cessation of hostilities, the two sides extended the ceasefire by 45 days on May 15 after productive Washington negotiations, with further political talks scheduled for June 2-3 and a security track set for the Pentagon on May 29. Israel has proposed phased joint clearance of Hezbollah infrastructure in southern Lebanon, while Lebanese officials emphasize full territorial control and an end to Israeli operations. These diplomatic steps, including direct bilateral contacts for the first time in decades, reflect trader focus on whether sustained progress can overcome the core obstacle of disarming the Iran-backed group and establishing lasting stability along the shared border.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
$173,939 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
May 31
2%
$173,939 Vol.
May 31
$96,857 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced toward a potential permanent peace agreement, centered on Hezbollah disarmament, border security arrangements, and mutual recognition of sovereignty. Following the April 16, 2026, cessation of hostilities, the two sides extended the ceasefire by 45 days on May 15 after productive Washington negotiations, with further political talks scheduled for June 2-3 and a security track set for the Pentagon on May 29. Israel has proposed phased joint clearance of Hezbollah infrastructure in southern Lebanon, while Lebanese officials emphasize full territorial control and an end to Israeli operations. These diplomatic steps, including direct bilateral contacts for the first time in decades, reflect trader focus on whether sustained progress can overcome the core obstacle of disarming the Iran-backed group and establishing lasting stability along the shared border.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Volumen
$173,939Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced toward a potential permanent peace agreement, centered on Hezbollah disarmament, border security arrangements, and mutual recognition of sovereignty. Following the April 16, 2026, cessation of hostilities, the two sides extended the ceasefire by 45 days on May 15 after productive Washington negotiations, with further political talks scheduled for June 2-3 and a security track set for the Pentagon on May 29. Israel has proposed phased joint clearance of Hezbollah infrastructure in southern Lebanon, while Lebanese officials emphasize full territorial control and an end to Israeli operations. These diplomatic steps, including direct bilateral contacts for the first time in decades, reflect trader focus on whether sustained progress can overcome the core obstacle of disarming the Iran-backed group and establishing lasting stability along the shared border.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$173,939Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced toward a potential permanent peace agreement, centered on Hezbollah disarmament, border security arrangements, and mutual recognition of sovereignty. Following the April 16, 2026, cessation of hostilities, the two sides extended the ceasefire by 45 days on May 15 after productive Washington negotiations, with further political talks scheduled for June 2-3 and a security track set for the Pentagon on May 29. Israel has proposed phased joint clearance of Hezbollah infrastructure in southern Lebanon, while Lebanese officials emphasize full territorial control and an end to Israeli operations. These diplomatic steps, including direct bilateral contacts for the first time in decades, reflect trader focus on whether sustained progress can overcome the core obstacle of disarming the Iran-backed group and establishing lasting stability along the shared border.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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