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icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Geopolitik·Hisbollah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Geopolitik·Hisbollah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

$341,218 Vol.

31. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$341,218 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$10,915 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces advanced to the outskirts of Nabatieh in late May 2026 during expanded ground operations north of the Litani River against Hezbollah positions, marking their deepest push in southern Lebanon since 2006. A June 2026 U.S.-brokered ceasefire halted major advances but has seen repeated violations, including Israeli airstrikes and artillery on Hezbollah infrastructure around Nabatieh and the Ali al-Taher heights, alongside Hezbollah attacks on Israeli units. Ongoing Rome talks focus on Israeli withdrawals, Lebanese army deployments in pilot zones, and dismantling militant facilities, with incidents such as near-misses during army movements in the Nabatieh district highlighting fragile implementation. These dynamics, including strategic terrain control and disarmament sticking points, shape trader assessments of any near-term full entry by Israeli forces.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$341,218
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces advanced to the outskirts of Nabatieh in late May 2026 during expanded ground operations north of the Litani River against Hezbollah positions, marking their deepest push in southern Lebanon since 2006. A June 2026 U.S.-brokered ceasefire halted major advances but has seen repeated violations, including Israeli airstrikes and artillery on Hezbollah infrastructure around Nabatieh and the Ali al-Taher heights, alongside Hezbollah attacks on Israeli units. Ongoing Rome talks focus on Israeli withdrawals, Lebanese army deployments in pilot zones, and dismantling militant facilities, with incidents such as near-misses during army movements in the Nabatieh district highlighting fragile implementation. These dynamics, including strategic terrain control and disarmament sticking points, shape trader assessments of any near-term full entry by Israeli forces.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$341,218
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „August 31" mit 20%, gefolgt von „May 31" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 20¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 20% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $341.2K generiert, seit der Markt am May 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" ist „August 31" mit 20%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 20% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „May 31" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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