Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated September 8–9, indicate Ankara’s overnight low on September 10 will likely reach 13–15 °C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high surface pressure favoring strong radiative cooling after sunset. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau, where minimum temperatures average near 14 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster near both sub-11 °C and 20 °C+ outcomes because traders weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which can shift the low by 2–3 °C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble means favor the middle range, with new 00 UTC runs expected to narrow uncertainty before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 10. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 10. September?
20°C oder höher 67%
18°C 40%
17°C 39%
19°C 38%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
10°C oder niedriger
32%
11°C
24%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
22%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
38%
20°C oder höher
67%
20°C oder höher 67%
18°C 40%
17°C 39%
19°C 38%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
10°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
32%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$17 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$83 Vol.
18%
16°C
$91 Vol.
18%
17°C
$50 Vol.
39%
18°C
$25 Vol.
40%
19°C
$30 Vol.
38%
20°C oder höher
$30 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated September 8–9, indicate Ankara’s overnight low on September 10 will likely reach 13–15 °C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high surface pressure favoring strong radiative cooling after sunset. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau, where minimum temperatures average near 14 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster near both sub-11 °C and 20 °C+ outcomes because traders weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which can shift the low by 2–3 °C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble means favor the middle range, with new 00 UTC runs expected to narrow uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$327Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated September 8–9, indicate Ankara’s overnight low on September 10 will likely reach 13–15 °C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high surface pressure favoring strong radiative cooling after sunset. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau, where minimum temperatures average near 14 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster near both sub-11 °C and 20 °C+ outcomes because traders weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which can shift the low by 2–3 °C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble means favor the middle range, with new 00 UTC runs expected to narrow uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$327Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated September 8–9, indicate Ankara’s overnight low on September 10 will likely reach 13–15 °C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high surface pressure favoring strong radiative cooling after sunset. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau, where minimum temperatures average near 14 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster near both sub-11 °C and 20 °C+ outcomes because traders weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which can shift the low by 2–3 °C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble means favor the middle range, with new 00 UTC runs expected to narrow uncertainty before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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