Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 9. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 9. September?
10°C 100.0%
7°C oder darunter <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,025 Vol.
$3,025 Vol.
9. Sep. 2026
7°C oder darunter
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Ja
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C oder höher
Nein
10°C 100.0%
7°C oder darunter <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,025 Vol.
$3,025 Vol.
9. Sep. 2026
7°C oder darunter
$50 Vol.
Nein
8°C
$45 Vol.
Nein
9°C
$45 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$776 Vol.
Ja
11°C
$480 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$206 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$573 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$189 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$164 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$269 Vol.
Nein
17°C oder höher
$230 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,025Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,025Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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