Forecast models from PredictWind and Turkish meteorological sources project overnight lows near 14–16°C for Ankara on September 12 under clear skies and light winds, consistent with early-September climatology for the highland region. Clear, dry conditions favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, yet recent cooling trends and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty around whether the minimum dips to 12°C or below or stays warmer. Trader consensus around the 12°C threshold versus higher values reflects this narrow range of expected outcomes, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour observational data from official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 12. September?
12°C oder weniger 99%
22°C oder höher 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
12°C oder weniger
99%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C oder höher
98%
12°C oder weniger 99%
22°C oder höher 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
12°C oder weniger
99%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from PredictWind and Turkish meteorological sources project overnight lows near 14–16°C for Ankara on September 12 under clear skies and light winds, consistent with early-September climatology for the highland region. Clear, dry conditions favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, yet recent cooling trends and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty around whether the minimum dips to 12°C or below or stays warmer. Trader consensus around the 12°C threshold versus higher values reflects this narrow range of expected outcomes, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour observational data from official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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