Current numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 5 likely falling in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by clear skies and light northeasterly flow that supports overnight radiative cooling under high pressure. Recent outlooks from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles show highs near 29–31°C and lows of 14–17°C, aligning with early-September climatology for the region. Trader positioning, with 13°C or below at 44% implied probability, reflects model spread and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm. Updated short-range forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will further refine the overnight low ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 5. September?
23°C oder höher 59%
17°C 49%
19°C 48%
13°C oder weniger 44%
13°C oder weniger
44%
14°C
28%
15°C
29%
16°C
28%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
48%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C oder höher
59%
23°C oder höher 59%
17°C 49%
19°C 48%
13°C oder weniger 44%
13°C oder weniger
44%
14°C
28%
15°C
29%
16°C
28%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
48%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C oder höher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 5 likely falling in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by clear skies and light northeasterly flow that supports overnight radiative cooling under high pressure. Recent outlooks from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles show highs near 29–31°C and lows of 14–17°C, aligning with early-September climatology for the region. Trader positioning, with 13°C or below at 44% implied probability, reflects model spread and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm. Updated short-range forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will further refine the overnight low ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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