Current forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to clear skies, light winds, and high pressure supporting a minimum temperature for Cape Town on September 7 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover as the dominant driver. Recent days have featured above-average warmth and dry conditions across the Western Cape, limiting cold-air advection from the interior or ocean. Model spread arises from small differences in predicted dew points, wind speeds near dawn, and any late-evening cloud that could reduce cooling rates; historical September lows average near 11–12°C, but the current pattern favors milder readings. Traders appear to weigh the chance of a slightly cooler outcome if winds stay calm against the risk of a warmer minimum if mixing persists. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 7. September?
19°C oder höher 82%
11°C 48%
18°C 48%
14°C 32%
9°C oder niedriger
15%
10°C
9%
11°C
48%
12°C
28%
13°C
30%
14°C
32%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
48%
19°C oder höher
82%
19°C oder höher 82%
11°C 48%
18°C 48%
14°C 32%
9°C oder niedriger
15%
10°C
9%
11°C
48%
12°C
28%
13°C
30%
14°C
32%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
48%
19°C oder höher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to clear skies, light winds, and high pressure supporting a minimum temperature for Cape Town on September 7 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover as the dominant driver. Recent days have featured above-average warmth and dry conditions across the Western Cape, limiting cold-air advection from the interior or ocean. Model spread arises from small differences in predicted dew points, wind speeds near dawn, and any late-evening cloud that could reduce cooling rates; historical September lows average near 11–12°C, but the current pattern favors milder readings. Traders appear to weigh the chance of a slightly cooler outcome if winds stay calm against the risk of a warmer minimum if mixing persists. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen