Forecast models from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service indicate an overnight low near 16–18°C for Madrid on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This setup favors the market's leading 16°C-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability, as reduced cloud cover enhances heat loss compared to recent warmer nights. Historical September averages near 15.4°C provide context, while minor model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 17–18°C bins. Updated runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 16. September?
18°C 49%
26°C oder höher 49%
22°C 40%
16°C oder darunter 40%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
32%
19°C
21%
20°C
18%
21°C
36%
22°C
40%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
49%
18°C 49%
26°C oder höher 49%
22°C 40%
16°C oder darunter 40%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$105 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$21 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
36%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
26°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service indicate an overnight low near 16–18°C for Madrid on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This setup favors the market's leading 16°C-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability, as reduced cloud cover enhances heat loss compared to recent warmer nights. Historical September averages near 15.4°C provide context, while minor model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 17–18°C bins. Updated runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$159Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service indicate an overnight low near 16–18°C for Madrid on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This setup favors the market's leading 16°C-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability, as reduced cloud cover enhances heat loss compared to recent warmer nights. Historical September averages near 15.4°C provide context, while minor model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 17–18°C bins. Updated runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$159Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service indicate an overnight low near 16–18°C for Madrid on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This setup favors the market's leading 16°C-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability, as reduced cloud cover enhances heat loss compared to recent warmer nights. Historical September averages near 15.4°C provide context, while minor model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 17–18°C bins. Updated runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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