Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s overnight minimum on August 21 in the 12–16 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light Atlantic flow, aligning with late-August climatology of 13–15 °C lows. Trader emphasis on 9 °C or below reflects uncertainty from an incoming low-pressure system that could enhance northerly advection and cloud cover, potentially allowing greater nocturnal cooling than typical. Official Roshydromet station readings at resolution will settle outcomes, with any revised short-range forecast shifts in boundary-layer temperature or wind speed likely to reprice the clustered 10–15 °C contracts before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 21. August?
9°C or below 91%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 34%
9°C or below
91%
10°C
58%
11°C
61%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 91%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 34%
9°C or below
91%
10°C
58%
11°C
61%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s overnight minimum on August 21 in the 12–16 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light Atlantic flow, aligning with late-August climatology of 13–15 °C lows. Trader emphasis on 9 °C or below reflects uncertainty from an incoming low-pressure system that could enhance northerly advection and cloud cover, potentially allowing greater nocturnal cooling than typical. Official Roshydromet station readings at resolution will settle outcomes, with any revised short-range forecast shifts in boundary-layer temperature or wind speed likely to reprice the clustered 10–15 °C contracts before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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