Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources indicate variable cloudiness and light winds over Moscow through the night of August 28–29, supporting radiative cooling that could drive minimum temperatures into the 6–11°C range in the city proper, with isolated spots potentially reaching 3–6°C in outlying areas. Northerly to southeasterly flow and clear intervals align with late-summer climatology, where historical August lows have occasionally dipped near 4°C. Ensemble model consensus and current surface observations reinforce this cooler bias without strong warm-air advection, positioning the 3°C-or-below outcome as the market leader while leaving room for revision from final overnight data releases.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 29. August?
3°C or below 87%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
3°C or below
87%
4°C
1%
5°C
45%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
23%
3°C or below 87%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
3°C or below
87%
4°C
1%
5°C
45%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources indicate variable cloudiness and light winds over Moscow through the night of August 28–29, supporting radiative cooling that could drive minimum temperatures into the 6–11°C range in the city proper, with isolated spots potentially reaching 3–6°C in outlying areas. Northerly to southeasterly flow and clear intervals align with late-summer climatology, where historical August lows have occasionally dipped near 4°C. Ensemble model consensus and current surface observations reinforce this cooler bias without strong warm-air advection, positioning the 3°C-or-below outcome as the market leader while leaving room for revision from final overnight data releases.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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