Recent GFS and DWD model runs indicate Paris overnight lows on September 10 will settle near 8–10 °C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong radiative cooling after a mild daytime high around 21–23 °C. Calm conditions favor surface temperature inversions and efficient heat loss, pushing the minimum below the 12 °C September climatological average. Market-implied odds cluster tightly at 8 °C and 9 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of the nocturnal minimum can shift the recorded low by 1 °C. Official Météo-France station data at the close of the 24-hour period will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 10. September?
9°C 35%
8°C 33%
7°C oder darunter 17%
10°C 14%
7°C oder darunter
17%
8°C
33%
9°C
35%
10°C
14%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C oder höher
3%
9°C 35%
8°C 33%
7°C oder darunter 17%
10°C 14%
7°C oder darunter
17%
8°C
33%
9°C
35%
10°C
14%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and DWD model runs indicate Paris overnight lows on September 10 will settle near 8–10 °C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong radiative cooling after a mild daytime high around 21–23 °C. Calm conditions favor surface temperature inversions and efficient heat loss, pushing the minimum below the 12 °C September climatological average. Market-implied odds cluster tightly at 8 °C and 9 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of the nocturnal minimum can shift the recorded low by 1 °C. Official Météo-France station data at the close of the 24-hour period will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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