Recent northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies over Paris have promoted radiative cooling overnight, with official forecasts and station data converging on a daily minimum near 12–13 °C for September 9. This places the outcome squarely in line with the long-term average low of 12.2 °C while remaining above record September values. Mild upstream air masses and light surface winds have limited further drops, keeping probabilities for 10 °C or lower below 3 percent. Traders are weighting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF guidance, which show only modest model spread around the 12 °C threshold as the night concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 9. September?
12°C 99%
8°C oder weniger <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$6,171 Vol.
$6,171 Vol.
8°C oder weniger
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Ja
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C oder höher
Nein
12°C 99%
8°C oder weniger <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$6,171 Vol.
$6,171 Vol.
8°C oder weniger
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Ja
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies over Paris have promoted radiative cooling overnight, with official forecasts and station data converging on a daily minimum near 12–13 °C for September 9. This places the outcome squarely in line with the long-term average low of 12.2 °C while remaining above record September values. Mild upstream air masses and light surface winds have limited further drops, keeping probabilities for 10 °C or lower below 3 percent. Traders are weighting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF guidance, which show only modest model spread around the 12 °C threshold as the night concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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