Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 22. September?
10°C 40%
9°C 37%
12°C 36%
8°C 32%
7°C oder weniger
25%
8°C
32%
9°C
37%
10°C
40%
11°C
24%
12°C
36%
13°C
32%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C oder höher
2%
10°C 40%
9°C 37%
12°C 36%
8°C 32%
7°C oder weniger
25%
8°C
32%
9°C
37%
10°C
40%
11°C
24%
12°C
36%
13°C
32%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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