Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s dominant implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. The pattern reflects stable high pressure and dry air advection that favors strong daytime heating, pushing readings several degrees above the late-September climatological average high near 21°C. Model consensus has held steady in recent runs with minimal spread, limiting uncertainty around the daily maximum. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France or equivalent station readings, which traders weigh against historical September extremes rarely exceeding 28°C this late in the month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 22. September?
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
$10,133 Vol.
$10,133 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
66%
25°C
31%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
$10,133 Vol.
$10,133 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
66%
25°C
31%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s dominant implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. The pattern reflects stable high pressure and dry air advection that favors strong daytime heating, pushing readings several degrees above the late-September climatological average high near 21°C. Model consensus has held steady in recent runs with minimal spread, limiting uncertainty around the daily maximum. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France or equivalent station readings, which traders weigh against historical September extremes rarely exceeding 28°C this late in the month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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