**Strong model consensus from official meteorological agencies points to a 19°C overnight low in Incheon under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity, enabling efficient radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection.** Recent surface observations and ensemble forecasts show temperatures bottoming near this threshold after daytime highs around 27–29°C, consistent with late-September climatology for the region where average lows hover near 18–20°C. Trader positioning at 99% reflects this alignment between numerical weather prediction runs and real-time data, with minimal spread across models. A shift in cloud cover or unexpected frontal passage could alter the minimum by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 21. September?
19°C 99%
17°C 2.1%
14°C oder weniger 1.3%
18°C 1.1%
14°C oder weniger
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 99%
17°C 2.1%
14°C oder weniger 1.3%
18°C 1.1%
14°C oder weniger
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus from official meteorological agencies points to a 19°C overnight low in Incheon under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity, enabling efficient radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection.** Recent surface observations and ensemble forecasts show temperatures bottoming near this threshold after daytime highs around 27–29°C, consistent with late-September climatology for the region where average lows hover near 18–20°C. Trader positioning at 99% reflects this alignment between numerical weather prediction runs and real-time data, with minimal spread across models. A shift in cloud cover or unexpected frontal passage could alter the minimum by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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