Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center indicate persistent cloud cover, light rain, and easterly winds over Shenzhen through mid-September, which typically moderate nighttime radiative cooling and keep daily lows near 24–26°C. These conditions align with climatological September averages but introduce uncertainty around intensification of showers or shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief cooler air incursions, elevating implied probability for a minimum at or below 20°C. Market sentiment reflects this near-term model spread and the narrow two-day window before resolution, with traders weighting historical variability in post-monsoon transitions alongside the latest observational data showing stable high pressure and humidity levels near 80%. Updated model runs on the 14th will likely refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 15. September?
20°C oder darunter 87%
30°C oder höher 47%
21°C 37%
26°C 24%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
87%
21°C
37%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C oder höher
47%
20°C oder darunter 87%
30°C oder höher 47%
21°C 37%
26°C 24%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
$10 Vol.
87%
21°C
$10 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$10 Vol.
18%
30°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center indicate persistent cloud cover, light rain, and easterly winds over Shenzhen through mid-September, which typically moderate nighttime radiative cooling and keep daily lows near 24–26°C. These conditions align with climatological September averages but introduce uncertainty around intensification of showers or shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief cooler air incursions, elevating implied probability for a minimum at or below 20°C. Market sentiment reflects this near-term model spread and the narrow two-day window before resolution, with traders weighting historical variability in post-monsoon transitions alongside the latest observational data showing stable high pressure and humidity levels near 80%. Updated model runs on the 14th will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$40Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center indicate persistent cloud cover, light rain, and easterly winds over Shenzhen through mid-September, which typically moderate nighttime radiative cooling and keep daily lows near 24–26°C. These conditions align with climatological September averages but introduce uncertainty around intensification of showers or shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief cooler air incursions, elevating implied probability for a minimum at or below 20°C. Market sentiment reflects this near-term model spread and the narrow two-day window before resolution, with traders weighting historical variability in post-monsoon transitions alongside the latest observational data showing stable high pressure and humidity levels near 80%. Updated model runs on the 14th will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center indicate persistent cloud cover, light rain, and easterly winds over Shenzhen through mid-September, which typically moderate nighttime radiative cooling and keep daily lows near 24–26°C. These conditions align with climatological September averages but introduce uncertainty around intensification of showers or shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief cooler air incursions, elevating implied probability for a minimum at or below 20°C. Market sentiment reflects this near-term model spread and the narrow two-day window before resolution, with traders weighting historical variability in post-monsoon transitions alongside the latest observational data showing stable high pressure and humidity levels near 80%. Updated model runs on the 14th will likely refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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