Recent forecast model runs show substantial uncertainty in Taipei's overnight minimum on September 3, with Central Weather Administration guidance indicating 25–27 °C lows amid widespread cloud cover and heavy showers, while some global ensembles suggest brief clearing that could allow radiational cooling toward 23 °C or residual warmth holding above 27 °C. Persistent southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 25 °C, and incoming tropical systems are suppressing typical nocturnal temperature drops by limiting clear-sky longwave radiation loss and enhancing latent-heat release from convection. This scientific divergence—between moisture-driven stabilization and variable steering patterns—explains the near-even market split between sub-23 °C and 28 °C-plus outcomes ahead of updated model cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Taipeh am 3. September?
22°C or below 63%
32°C or higher 63%
23°C 49%
27°C 36%
22°C or below
63%
23°C
49%
24°C
13%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
26%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
63%
22°C or below 63%
32°C or higher 63%
23°C 49%
27°C 36%
22°C or below
63%
23°C
49%
24°C
13%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
26%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs show substantial uncertainty in Taipei's overnight minimum on September 3, with Central Weather Administration guidance indicating 25–27 °C lows amid widespread cloud cover and heavy showers, while some global ensembles suggest brief clearing that could allow radiational cooling toward 23 °C or residual warmth holding above 27 °C. Persistent southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 25 °C, and incoming tropical systems are suppressing typical nocturnal temperature drops by limiting clear-sky longwave radiation loss and enhancing latent-heat release from convection. This scientific divergence—between moisture-driven stabilization and variable steering patterns—explains the near-even market split between sub-23 °C and 28 °C-plus outcomes ahead of updated model cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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