Trader consensus strongly favors a daily minimum of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 25, reflecting current heat-wave conditions with regional model runs from the China Meteorological Administration showing persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows holding near or above 26°C amid elevated dew points and minimal wind, consistent with late-summer climatology where such thresholds are frequently exceeded. A rapid influx of cooler air or unexpected convective activity could lower readings, yet no such signals appear in the latest guidance, keeping the implied probability near 98.5% until final verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 25. August?
25°C oder höher 99%
24°C 7%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
15°C oder niedriger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C oder höher
99%
25°C oder höher 99%
24°C 7%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
15°C oder niedriger
$178 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$160 Vol.
7%
25°C oder höher
$339 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily minimum of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 25, reflecting current heat-wave conditions with regional model runs from the China Meteorological Administration showing persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows holding near or above 26°C amid elevated dew points and minimal wind, consistent with late-summer climatology where such thresholds are frequently exceeded. A rapid influx of cooler air or unexpected convective activity could lower readings, yet no such signals appear in the latest guidance, keeping the implied probability near 98.5% until final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,232Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily minimum of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 25, reflecting current heat-wave conditions with regional model runs from the China Meteorological Administration showing persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows holding near or above 26°C amid elevated dew points and minimal wind, consistent with late-summer climatology where such thresholds are frequently exceeded. A rapid influx of cooler air or unexpected convective activity could lower readings, yet no such signals appear in the latest guidance, keeping the implied probability near 98.5% until final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,232Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a daily minimum of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 25, reflecting current heat-wave conditions with regional model runs from the China Meteorological Administration showing persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows holding near or above 26°C amid elevated dew points and minimal wind, consistent with late-summer climatology where such thresholds are frequently exceeded. A rapid influx of cooler air or unexpected convective activity could lower readings, yet no such signals appear in the latest guidance, keeping the implied probability near 98.5% until final verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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