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icon for Mulka-By-Election-Sieger
Welt·Australien

Mulka-By-Election-Sieger

icon for Mulka-By-Election-Sieger
Welt·Australien

Mulka-By-Election-Sieger

Polymarket

$3,653 Vol.

Polymarket

$3,653 Vol.

icon for Andrew Blamey

Andrew Blamey

$1,033 Vol.

Nein

icon for Yiwarr McGrath

Yiwarr McGrath

$2,620 Vol.

Ja

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly seat vacated by independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in August 2026. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, McGrath has emphasized continuity with Guyula’s focus on community-led decision-making, healthcare access, and remote services in eastern Arnhem Land. The electorate, previously a long-term Labor stronghold before Guyula’s independent victories, features limited opposition with only independent Andrew Blamey confirmed as a contender and no Country Liberal Party candidate. Early voting and the short campaign timeline have reinforced trader expectations of a Labor gain, consistent with historical patterns in similar by-elections. Late shifts could occur from unusually high independent turnout or unforeseen local issues, though current positioning leaves little room for other outcomes.

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Volumen
$3,653
Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://ntec.nt.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly seat vacated by independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in August 2026. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, McGrath has emphasized continuity with Guyula’s focus on community-led decision-making, healthcare access, and remote services in eastern Arnhem Land. The electorate, previously a long-term Labor stronghold before Guyula’s independent victories, features limited opposition with only independent Andrew Blamey confirmed as a contender and no Country Liberal Party candidate. Early voting and the short campaign timeline have reinforced trader expectations of a Labor gain, consistent with historical patterns in similar by-elections. Late shifts could occur from unusually high independent turnout or unforeseen local issues, though current positioning leaves little room for other outcomes.

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Volumen
$3,653
Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://ntec.nt.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Yiwarr McGrath" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Andrew Blamey" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" ist „Yiwarr McGrath" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Andrew Blamey" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Mulka-By-Election-Sieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.