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Wahlen·Äthiopien

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Wahlen·Äthiopien

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 98.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket

$12,029 Vol.

Abiy Ahmed 98.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket

$12,029 Vol.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$3,703 Vol.

99%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$1,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$1,488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$1,049 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$1,218 Vol.

<1%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$1,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$1,199 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s entrenched position as Ethiopia’s incumbent prime minister and leader of the Prosperity Party drives the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market odds. Recent months have featured his direct oversight of macroeconomic reforms, infrastructure launches, and regional diplomacy, including a reported 9.2 percent GDP growth and new African Union roles in digital innovation, all of which reinforce perceptions of continuity. The June 2026 general elections, which he has publicly committed to holding on schedule, represent the primary near-term test, with the House of People’s Representatives expected to select the next prime minister. While persistent regional security challenges in areas such as Amhara and Oromia could introduce volatility, historical patterns of incumbency advantage and party control make abrupt leadership transitions unlikely absent major unforeseen developments.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,029
Enddatum
1. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s entrenched position as Ethiopia’s incumbent prime minister and leader of the Prosperity Party drives the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market odds. Recent months have featured his direct oversight of macroeconomic reforms, infrastructure launches, and regional diplomacy, including a reported 9.2 percent GDP growth and new African Union roles in digital innovation, all of which reinforce perceptions of continuity. The June 2026 general elections, which he has publicly committed to holding on schedule, represent the primary near-term test, with the House of People’s Representatives expected to select the next prime minister. While persistent regional security challenges in areas such as Amhara and Oromia could introduce volatility, historical patterns of incumbency advantage and party control make abrupt leadership transitions unlikely absent major unforeseen developments.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,029
Enddatum
1. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Abiy Ahmed" mit 99%, gefolgt von „Belete Molla" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $12K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ist „Abiy Ahmed" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Belete Molla" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.